Shark Tip of the Week


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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING: NAME THAT TEAM!
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 5, 2007  

Here are the clues: They are a highly regarded program.  They are a perennial bowl team.  Their head coach who is still highly regarded and was once considered part of ‘new breed” of coaching elite.  They are on TV all the time, particularly in conference play.  They were projected by preseason magazines to be a top five team three years ago, a top 20 ...  read more

NFL BETTING: BE WARY OF HIGH COMPLETION PERCENTAGES
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 5, 2007  

New conservative passing strategies in pro football have changed the standards for a quarterback’s completion percentage.

Being a “high percentage” passer doesn’t have the impact it used to. A lot of teams now have a variety of short routes and swing passes that are basically extended handoffs. The quarterback may be completing a pass…but he&rsquo ...  read more

EARLY TD/INT RATIOS SHOW DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HAVE'S AND HAVE NOT'S AT QB
The Sportsbook Shark Sep 29, 2007  

Before we deconstruct the quarterback position in the NFL, let’s take a look at one of the best places to take advantage of what you learn.   If you’re looking to win money, you should bet at the place where they give you the most money.  We’re talking about Spo ...  read more

WHAT'S A SPORTS BETTOR TO DO WITH THE BEARS?
The Sportsbook Shark Sep 29, 2007  

News broke late Tuesday that Rex Grossman had finally been benched by the Chicago Bears in favor of backup journeyman Brian Griese.   Let’s compare the two.  But before we do, let’s talk about where you should be betting.  Shouldn’t you bet at the place where they give you the most money? We’re talking about read more

NCAA Football Betting: WHO CAN FIGURE OUT THE UCLA BRUINS?
Sep 21, 2007  

One of the keys to staying on top of college football is knowing when you have to throw out final scores while evaluating a game.

Much of the time, a final score pretty well sums up the approximate differences between two teams. But, a few times a week, it’s the most misleading thing about a game!

Two weeks ago, UCLA beat BYU 27-17 despite being outgained by almo ...  read more

FOOTBALL BETTORS NEED TO KNOW:  IS AFC SUPERIORITY CONTINUING IN 2007?
The Sportsbook Shark Sep 13, 2007  

It’s like that old joke about the weather. Everybody says they realize that the AFC is much stronger than the NFC right now, but nobody does anything about it!

In the first week of NFL action, two top AFC teams from the 2006 season were matched up against the NFC championship pairing of Chicago and New Orleans. This would give handicappers and fans a great chance to evaluate wh ...  read more

Free Monday Night Football Breakdown
The Sportsbook Shark Sep 10, 2007  

It's an explosion of football action on Monday Night, with dueling Monday night football contests.  A great place to get complimentary football betting information is at www.CappersBuzz.com.  And guys, you don't want to miss the free analysis posted there of one of these Monday night football games.  That is, the deck is stacked ag ...  read more

DUBIOUS SPORTS BOOKS BREAK BANK AS 6-PACK OF NFL COACHES FIND THEMSELVES ON HOT SEAT
The Sportsbook Shark Sep 9, 2007  

Before talking about using NFL coaches’ job security as a let’s talk about the competitive environment that sports books find themselves in, and all the free money that’s waiting for you at a top sportsbook.

There are a lot of sports books of dubious reputation tossing a lot of free money around this season. But you need to make sure that when you take advantage of the free mon ...  read more

Football Bettors Wonder. Is Charlie Weis Just Ty Willingham With Higher Cholesterol?
The Sportsbook Shark Sep 1, 2007  

Everyone loves or hates Notre Dame.  But before we see if there’s been any tangible difference between the Irish of Charlie Weis and the Irish of Ty Willingham.  Let’s answer another question…

Where can I bet?

The media tells you that you can’t bet online anymore.  Tell that to the online poker rooms advertising on ESPN and the guys walking around i ...  read more

Shark Attack: You'll Never Guess Which Team Is Playing Some Of The Best Defense In The NFL
The Sportsbook Shark Dec 10, 2006  

The Oakland Raiders have the #3 yardage defense in the NFL ... the #5 third down defense in the NFL ... stunningly, they've got the fourth best defense when it comes to avoiding penalties too. Weren't the guys in silver and black supposed to be dirty players?!

What's even more amazing is that they're doing this while being on the field much more than normal defen ...  read more

Shark Attack: Big Favorites Often Going Through The Motions Late In NFL Campaign
The Sportsbook Shark Dec 10, 2006  

Let's do some math. Imagine an offense that's averaging 319 yards per game is lined up against a defense that's averaging 293 yards per game. You may not be enough of a stathead to know what those mean in the NFL right now. Take our word for it that it's a lousy offense against a strong defense.

The opponent is averaging 348 yards per game on offense, and is matche ...  read more

Shark Attack: Equal Stats But On A Different Plane
The Sportsbook Shark Dec 7, 2006  

Two NFL signal callers have quarterback ratings this year of 72.1 and 72.0. Both are less than 27 years old. One has his fans and the local media very excited about his longterm future. The other would be fighting for his job if he was playing for any other team. Can you guess who we're talking about?

The guy with a 72.1 is Matt Leinart. He's a 23-year old rookie who has r ...  read more

Shark Attack: Guaranteed Monday Night Football Profits
The Sportsbook Shark Dec 4, 2006  

The Eagles vs. the Panthers was a popular pick by many to form the NFC Championship game this coming January.  But injuries and poor play have devastated both teams, and the 5-6 Eagles and 6-5 Panthers both have an uphill climb to make the playoffs.  But why should you worry about that, when all you need to think about is the free money that is waiting for you at one of the ...  read more

Shark Attack: Is Sunday Night Football Overwhelming Sportsbooks?
The Sportsbook Shark Dec 1, 2006  

For years, Monday Night Football games tended to go over the total, having more scoring than the linemaker and betting public expected.  It was the one game of the week that "everyone" was watching.  All the players and coaches from throughout the league watched MNF and coaches schemed for big plays on both offense and defense for players only too eager to show off before their peers. ...  read more

Shark Attack: Broncos Replace Rookie Performer With Real Rookie
The Sportsbook Shark Nov 30, 2006  

Are the Denver Broncos acting rashly by benching Jake Plummer in favor of highly touted rookie Jay Cutler? The stats say no. He's compiled a quarterback rating of 70.5 through 11 games. That ranks 27th in the league, in the neighborhood of guys like Matt Leinart, Bruce Gradkowski, Joey Harrington, and Mike Vick. You'll note that none of those guys are playing for playoff conte ...  read more

Shark Attack: Could NFL 'Disaster' Be Playoff Bound?
The Sportsbook Shark Nov 18, 2006  

Can the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs? That might have sounded like a ridiculous question before the season started. Their Over/Under for team victories was around six. The debate around the proposition centered on whether a 4-12 caliber team (their record last year) might do better than that because of a soft schedule.

Through nine games, the Packers sit at 4-5, and have ...  read more

Shark Attack: NFL Dog Party Not Restricted to Full Games
The Sportsbook Shark Nov 17, 2006  

A lot has been made about all the underdogs covering in the NFL the past few weekends. Gotten lost in the shuffle has been the fact that dogs have done even BETTER against the first half lines than they have the full game lines. Last week, underdogs were 13-3 ATS against the 16 first half spreads. If you were betting them to win the first half outright on the moneyline ... the record wa ...  read more

Shark Attack: Dogs Having Their Day In NFL
The Sportsbook Shark Nov 12, 2006  

Keep an eye on the dogs the rest of this fall this fall in the NFL.  NFL underdogs have been coming on strong in recent weeks. You probably know that last year was huge for favorites, cashing at a 58% clip. The chalk was winning again early this season. But, lately, underdogs have been living up to past standards. In fact, a 10-4 ATS mark this past weekend brought the full season ...  read more

Shark Attack: How To Bet Louisville/Rutgers After It Starts
The Sportsbook Shark Nov 9, 2006  

Plenty of rooting interest nationally in favor of Rutgers in Thursday night football. Teams like Florida and Texas would be knocking on the door for the #2 spot should Louisville lose on Thursday night. Of course, teams below Florida and Texas are also dreaming big dreams. And, they're also rooting against Louisville. A lot can happen between now and January (and usually does). ...  read more

Shark Attack: Amazing System 'Breeds' Breeder's Cup Profits
The Sportsbook Shark Nov 3, 2006  

Your horse buddies would be floored by this. It is the most incredible stat in the gambling world, and it is something you should unquestionably pass along to anyone you know who bets horses. It results from all the huge underdogs that hit annually in the Breeder's Cup, and how poorly favorites have done in the 26 years and 189 races in Breeder's Cup history.

Here it is, ...  read more

Shark Attack: Why Churchill Downs is the Wrong Place to be this Saturday
The Sportsbook Shark Nov 3, 2006  

For many bettors, Saturday is Christmas morning.  A full slate of college football coincides with racing's championship day, the Breeder's Cup. And if you haven't read the easy Breeder's Cup system that is profitable with action on every single race in the Breeder's Cup the past 26 years, you owe it to yourself to check out Pinnacle.

And where are you playing the Breeder's Cup today? ...  read more

Thursday Night ESPN Matchup Offers Great Defense For All, -101 Wagering For Sharks
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 26, 2006  

Virginia Tech's catching a lot of heat for having lost a couple of games in a row, but the Hokies bounced back with a dominating 36-6 win over Southern Miss last weekend.  Clemson is in contention for a BCS bowl after blowing out a Georgia Tech team that had already beaten up the Hokies pretty good on their home field.   Clemson average result is a 42-13 win, which si ...  read more

Shark Attack: Monday Night Football Preview
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 23, 2006  

The Giants average result is a 25-22 win while the Cowboys 29-18.  New Yorkers have played a much more difficult schedule, however, as the Cowboys scoring stats have benefited from their blowout wins over Tennessee and Houston (both of those games were close at halftime).  The Giants have some better stats, though. 

The Giants gain 402 yards per game and allow 32 ...  read more

Shark Attack: Public Betting NFL Late Game Like It Is Already Over
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 15, 2006  

Swimming against the current after a big favorite week is often the way to go in the NFL.  With every NFL favorite winning straight up last weekend, and a very productive week for favorites against the spread as well, it might be a real good Sunday to zig while others zag.

The Hilton contest provides a good barometer of public opinion. Wrongly considered to be a field of sh ...  read more

Shark Attack: College Game Offers Lesson For Football Fans + a 90% Juice Discount
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 13, 2006  

Sportsbook Sharks should attack when they sense blood in the water.  But sometimes football fans and administrators shouldn't go for the kill right away.

One of the more intriguing college football matchups this Saturday sees 5-0 Rutgers visiting 5-1 Navy, and before we get to a crucial wagering lesson for all Sportsbook Sharks, let's look at an important lesson on ...  read more

Shark Attack: Smart Bettors Smell Blood On The Ice
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 11, 2006  

Hockey generates a surprising amount of handle for some sportsbooks.   From Thunder Bay to Tampa Bay; from Medicine Hat to Miami; and from Saskatoon to San Diego; hockey betting is booming.  The speed, excitement, skill, athleticism, and international flavor of hockey have resulted in pucks growing rapidly in popularity as a betting sport.

But the rule changes last year through ...  read more

Shark Attack: Unique Stat Shows Defensive Destruction Likely And Wagering Profits Guaranteed
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 9, 2006  

One stat that measures the efficiency of a defense is how many yards it takes for an opposing offense to generate a point.  Maybe teams can move between the 20's, but if that doesn't lead to touchdowns that's OK.  One thing most bettors don't know tonight is that both Baltimore and Denver have defenses that make opponents work as hard as can be to score points. ...  read more

Shark Attack: Saturday Night ESPN/ABC 'Triplecast' Offers Nearly Juice Free Wagering Opportunities
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 7, 2006  

If you enjoy wagering on the nationally televised evening games that ESPN/ABC shows as a "Triplecast", often showing all three games at once, you can bet those games at very low juice tonight, the equivalent of -102 or -103 wagering.   And it isn't just those games, it is nearly every game on the board tonight.

In the past, Sportsbook Sharks who wanted to play at optimal lines had ...  read more

Shark Attack: Why Wednesday Nights are 'Poker Night in America'
The Sportsbook Shark Oct 4, 2006  

With a lousy football match up on tap for Wednesday night, let's talk poker. Many Sportsbook Sharks find poker a great way to build their bankroll. The best way to beat poker is to play against bad players, where Sharks of varying skill levels can feast on them.Tonight is a great opportunity, as Wednesday night is "Poker Night in America”, as the widespread viewing of poker on TV send ...  read more



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