Last year favorites ruled the roost in the NFL, rolling to a 58% spread
record. This year is the revenge of the dogs so far, as underdogs are
covering at better than 54%. Many Sportsbook Sharks who consider
last season's parade of favorites to be an aberration are looking not to bet
every underdog, but rather are looking for ways to pick their spots when they go
against the tide this year. One good way to go against the public is to go against the consensus
selection in the Hilton contest in Las Vegas. Though there are some sharp
people in that contest, the majority are simply people with $1500 and a dream.
When they all line up on the same side, it is often a good go-against. The overwhelming public choice in the Hilton contest this week, by a stunning
117-37 margin, is the Green Bay Packers. It is more of a play
against the Arizona Cardinals than anything else, as the 4th quarter against the
Bears and last week's blowout loss to the previously pathetic Raiders were both
downright embarrassing. But form has a way of reversing itself in the NFL, and when the public is all
zigging, it might be your turn to zag. Holding your nose and going against
the crowd this weekend with the Cardinals is the kind of play that will get the
money more often than not this year, as the Packers simply don't have the
profile of a trustworthy favorite. Another thing that will get you the money this year is putting the
information you get at
CappersBuzz.com to use in the wagering markets. The sharpest
professional analysts and handicappers share information at
CappersBuzz.com.